Center for American and Arab Studies Weekly Report of the American research centers

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Weekly Report of the American research centers

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Weekly Report 07/11/2013

July 13, 2014 thinktankadmin Weekly Report of the American research centers

: Introduction

American political currents of the conflict took a concern shared border areas with Mexico as an excuse to dump the lava, on the grounds that it has become an outlet open to the continuous waves of "illegal immigrants" from Central and South American countries. The decline reflected the conflict media attention aggression on the Gaza Strip, and the omission of an attack on the Zionist colonizers kidnapping and burning a young Palestinian man alive

Will review the analysis section two Dhaguettin on the American scene: the phenomenon of indifference to President Obama for the continuation of "Israeli" aggression on Gaza, and looked forward to win the support of the Jewish community in light of the ongoing changes on the electoral map and Delinquency Jewish majority to support the currents and programs to maintain the most prominent of "Israel." The other issue dealing with new technologies war to the Palestinian resistance and "Israel" despite the scarcity of documented information and integration

Summary of studies and activities of the research centers

Occupied Palestine

        Considered the Center for Security Policy Studies said the assassination of a young Palestinian, Mohammed Abu Khudair, burned with fire, a neighborhood but also embodies the "deep social crisis in Israel," noting that he should be on "Israel" pay attention seriously to these "pests and eradicated .. and by addressing the phenomenon of Jewish terrorism, which grows harmful Kalaashab must be uprooted. "welcomed the center of the steps laid down by the" heads of Arab municipalities who stood up to the protesters and called on Israeli Arabs to integrate into Israeli society .. "and concluded by saying that" Israel is facing a difficult and tough in front of the period, however, that we can not evade the obligations of freedoms. "

Iraq

Urged the Center for Strategic and International Studies in the United States to continue its efforts "to restrict the movement organizing Daash and the imposition of the decline on the dash without having to choose between engaged in full-scale civil war parties .. and seek to support the central government's efforts to rebuild its security forces." The center warned of "strategic risks new powers in the Middle East and beyond the borders of Iraq and began sucking US engagement in the new competitive formula - or the majority of the game - with Russia and perhaps also with China "

Shed the American Enterprise Institute attention on the supposed forces of Iran's Revolutionary Guard role in the Iraqi crisis, adding that his goals in the "landing defeat Islamic state intersect with the goals of the United States, but he puts his sights embrace mobilize the Shiites of Iraq as part of the sectarian mobilization of regional policy against .. US regional allies and which constitute an additional threat to US interests in the region. "He said the institute" The Revolutionary Guards will press ahead with efforts to destabilize the Middle East and the creation of a fertile environment for the recruitment of alternative Basij forces, but also for the supporters of al-Qaeda. "

Egypt

Incited the Carnegie Institute of the Egyptian people against the new authorities, which seeks "to extend its sphere of influence and dictatorship pretext of protecting national security and the fight against terrorism .. it not to accept sacrifice liberties in exchange for the extension of stability and security," appealing to Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi initiative to "conduct a national dialogue aimed at translating the principles of basic constitution to a legislative process, programs and institutions Bending .. Egypt and meet the challenges of social, political and labor saving popular requirements, and lay a framework for economic reforms. "

Afghanistan

Promising the Center for Strategic and International Studies in three consecutive studies address the issue of Afghanistan and challenges "to destabilize the security" in the light of the presidential election results that have not been resolved yet. The center said the failure of the transitional phase, especially as pumping additional troops to the field of Afghanistan, the surge, "has reaped positive results desired .. nor the Afghan security forces continue to suffer from severe challenges in quality and funding, the challenges that avoid recognition by President Obama in his about the transition Afghan Patarraikh May 27, 2014 "

Strategic conflict in Asia

Haritaj Foundation urged the US military in its efforts "to counter China's efforts to set up a regional influence threatens the American presence area .. and the use of a number of political ways and deployment of military operations and technical equipment to deter Chinese military .. and exploit the hostility of all regional countries, China's advantage."

: Analysis

Strip resist and withstand

Netanyahu and Obama climb covers Monitors midterm elections

Title not signaled something new or different historical transformations witnessed by the Arab-Zionist conflict path on the land of Palestine. Bright this time is in the unit and hardness difference response of the Palestinian resistance, systemic centers and the headquarters of the institutions strategy for usurping entity, explained expressions embodied in the rise of the Palestinians their roofs and huts dilapidated to watch and celebrate the arrival of the resistance missiles to their targets Alala in circles occur colonists Zionists who are running for cover in basements, shelters, accompanied by their leaders promise them fascists statements "eradication of the resistance," after having each time to rotate their tanks and guns, nozzles decline and retreat

A new round launched by "Israel" arrogance and impudence and criminality confided: the arm of the colonists of abducting a young Arab man and set fire to his body alive, sending lava fighter jets American made for tamping entire people living under siege in Gaza, in light of the continued keenness of the Palestinian Authority to return to negotiate and continued coordination security, and recording oral protest against America's "invincible army and humiliated" for assaulting and kidnapped a young Palestinian man last encountered him American citizenship and torture scene horrific image of the camera

In the broader space, and after approval of the officials of the Zionists that the Gaza Strip during the five days of aggression first continuous exposure to over 900 air strike American aircraft manufacture and ammunition, throwing lava weighing about 1,000 tons of explosives, destroying more than 200 homes completely destroyed and about 6,000 homes partially destroyed and loss of humanity, the martyrs and the wounded, are increasing steadily. This scene in front of the US government devoted positions hostile to stand in front of a resolution of the UN Security Council condemning the Zionist aggression, preceded by repeated statements of senior officials expressed their unwillingness or the will of the US to intervene to stop the aggression provides structure. But ignored President Obama's latest developments and regional visitors went touring in a number of US cities begged for financial donations had to campaign for candidates of the Democratic Party

Thus, President Obama has proven that he is not in a hurry to stop the aggression walk in the footsteps of his predecessors and former US strategy in line with the anti-peoples claim their freedom and independence. But the enthusiasm did not creep in which to receive a personal visiting Jordanian monarch, King Abdullah II, and postponed the matter to Vice President Joe Biden hosted for breakfast matinee family ambience, sending a message to those concerned that the field and political conditions have not matured enough yet to US intervention United weigh save "Israel" out of the truce and stop the bloodshed

Thus one can touch the reality of the priorities of President Obama to pay heed to the campaign donations he launched four months ago to enhance the chances of the candidates for the Democratic party, after a few months, and postpone the other dimensions of strategic issues, notably the Israeli aggression on Gaza. This conclusion is reinforced by the results of opinion polls indicated steadily deteriorating popularity of President Obama and poor economic performance and the threat corresponded to the loss of the Democratic Party leadership of the Senate, and the decline in official interest in foreign affairs in general

President Obama has finally realized that the battle to win the votes of independents losing a reflection of the deteriorating economic situation, and doubles the functions and tasks of his party's candidates to sustain the weft party rule. Obama and strives to build a broader coalition electoral base extension denote the new strategy for the White House Balastdarh to refine internal policies

In the internal affairs too, continued crises President Obama to pay the Supreme Court extra defeat internal programs and alignment as well as the owners of the major interests that demanded by restricting the freedom of worker and employee enjoy the benefits of the health care system related to the provision of contraceptives, which may translate electoral swelling the ranks of working women in the ranks Democratic Party in protest against the intervention of "higher authorities" Bamorhen private and personal. As he became the lords of the Republican Party outrage from President Obama's policy of "loose" with waves of immigration "illegal" about the Southern Common US border with Mexico, and accused him of appeasing electoral base for the community of Latin; with the realization parties that gatherings electoral particular do not play a pivotal role in determining the election results , and the resort of Obama's Democratic Party, headed by the leaders of the over-reliance on the powers of the electoral organization, the most important Jewish community, which is characterized by well-organized and mobilized the largest participation in the election of the other. It is worth mentioning that Jews make up between 2 - 2.5% of the general American people, inhabiting the absolute Aglapthm by 94% in the 13 states of the total fifty states

Distribute the votes of the Jewish community goes predominantly in favor of the Democratic Party, the latest studies have estimated that 70% of them tend to grade Democrat, compared with 49% of the Pan Americans support the party. Ratios mentioned points to the importance and sensitivity of winning the votes of Jews for President Obama and Democratic candidates, especially in the US, which are classified as critical: Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania

Reference of the Jewish vote, with regard to the presidential election, in particular, undergone some changes in the final stages, and were not decisive and conclusive, but it indicates to modify some of the previous Muslim who cares punctual votes. She latest polls Institute "Pew" that the majority of Jews see themselves as American citizens first, and interest in "Israel" is ranked second with a note easing of belonging to the Jewish community - according to the polls, "Pew." He added, "Pew" that about 71% of the Jews is the religious intermarrying outside the Jewish community, and about 60% of them do not practice their rituals inside the temple. This particular chip is betting that the Democratic Party to attract reinforced express 54% of American Jews support for the extent of US support "for Israel."

The remaining Jews ratio 0.46%, is aimed at Obama depolarized under a steady drumbeat of information that sector broader Pat tends to support the Republican Party in particular and they slide birth among the Jews, and some of them have no support for President Obama and opposed his policies, "the hardline toward Israel."

Or the religious Orthodox Jews are the most growing segment and account for about 12% of the total Jewish community in America; with reference to the young generation under the age of eighteen and constitutes 75% of all Jews. The bulk of this segment is Alamil to support GOP economic and commercial motives in the first place, and gather in the main cities. For example, tends towards 33% of the large Orthodox slice in New York City in support of the Republican Party

In detail, too, said about 40 percent of the Jews living in New York City they're Orthodox, compared with 33% held by the erase a decade. The language of statistics, that this phenomenon has continued to escalate, the slice of Orthodox Jews will be compact and stable mass support for the Republican Party, because of the support program for the conservative party in the social, behavioral and economic dimensions, and also religious. Record vote in 2012, 86% of Orthodox Jews in favor of the Republican Party, compared with 28% in favor of the party of the non-Orthodox. Conversely voice about 72% of non-Orthodox Jews to President Obama won the support of only 14% of the votes of Orthodox Jews

Interested reference in this regard to the Orthodox Jews slice "Israeli" policy commitment as a priority over other issues, and perhaps this explains why President Obama is distancing self-interest in the aggression on Gaza, without ignoring the strategic dimension of the US policy hostile to the central issue of the Arabs

The role of advanced technology in the aggression on Gaza

In a very short time not to exceed ten years under the Gaza Strip to aggression "Israeli" comprehensive involvement of weapons of aviation and marine infantry, and address factions various Palestinian resistance Bslahi design and human will and rockets modest, but surprised the evolution of accuracy and depth extensions friends before enemies. And gradually stepped up the Palestinian resistance to diversify its missiles from quite some time range of locally manufactured, down to the ranges of up to about 160 km of the 302 model Syrian-made (as quoted by the British Economist magazine and confirmed by resistance sources), as well as the most destructive ability of M-local -75-made bearing the upside explosive weighing 100 kg, aimed at the Dimona reactor area and Tel Spring

Engaged "Iron Dome" for a limited number of missiles that hit targets deep in occupied Palestine, an extension of colonies around the Gaza Strip down to Haifa and Tel passing through the spring and Hadera, has not delivered Jerusalem from the correction accuracy. It hit the Lod airport, Ben Gurion Airport, for the first time in the history of the Arab-Zionist conflict four times

He used the Zionist entity on bragging effectively Iron Dome, but the excessive exaggeration claiming it ranged between 84 and 90% accuracy. Figures from the military and official bodies refute it. At the beginning of the fifth day of the aggression, reported the agency "ab" American news agency that total by the Palestinian resistance of different bullets hit 420 missile intercepted the "Iron Dome" 90 rockets. Is equivalent to 21%. The day before, it was reported firing 117 rockets intercepted the "Iron Dome" missile 19; ie 16%

Published "Israel" 7 missile batteries of the Iron Dome area directly surrounding the Gaza Strip, despite the intensity of their performance was very humble, according to official figures published, as well as the high cost of the battery ($ 50 million) and missiles (40.00 - $ 100,000). Summoned also 40,000 reservists to active duty indication of its intentions prolonging aggression but leaders of the political and military reluctant to take a ground invasion decision Alokonh day under the exchange of accusations between the military and intelligence chiefs scarcity and failure to collect information about weapons and locations of resistance climate

In the US Notch, wait and see haunting political movement with the nominated information about high-level internal discussions suggest not to the American side preference for the invasion of the "Israeli" Berri, at the moment, and procrastination prolong the aerial bombardment to inflict maximum casualties in anticipation of the crystallization of different data than predictors it results in the field, under the Civil disable traffic in Lod Airport and undergo at least 3 million Jewish settlers live in basements shelters

Weekly Report 04/07/2013

July 7, 2014 thinktankadmin Weekly Report of the American research centers

: Introduction

Turning the weight of popular and official concerns center of the deteriorating security situation in Iraq to keep up with the Supreme Court, which had made consecutive blows to President Obama and his policies chain decisions, in light of the anniversary of the country's independence celebrations

The US system has proven in its current form the relative ability to deal with difficult internal challenges; they are either foreign thorny issue does not call for the tranquility and satisfaction for all citizens. In the internal affairs emerged conflict influence of powers, executive and judicial, strongly this week in the aftermath of the Supreme Court, a series of judicial rulings contrary to the directives of President Obama and the policies of the executive branch, accompanied by the results of opinion polls low for the position of President Obama and the extent of popular support, which has seen a sharp decline not seen Presidential Foundation that of 70 years ago

Analysis department will review the American system mechanisms and pillars based on the principle of separation of powers and establish a balance between the ranges of influence; and characterization of the consequences of which threaten the social fabric

Summary of studies and activities of the research centers

Iraq

          He Institute of war studies believed that al Daash goes on to complete the preparations for the onslaught on Baghdad, especially since it "has enormous power, as well as pleased to predict the next Bouktoath after revealing key to its strategy elements .. did not reach the height of his achievements in Iraq." He added that the next target Daash likely to be on the modern corridor - gray to pounce on the headquarters of the central government in Baghdad

Gave the Center for Security Policy responsibility for the US failure in Iraq on the shoulders "of politicians and creators, not the intelligence services .. especially since Silas rich information has been circulating in the media over the past year, pointing to an imminent explosion of sectarian war in Iraq and the growing strength of Daash in both Iraq and Syria . "He added that he had to be on President Obama's administration should learn control Daash on the city of Fallujah and elsewhere in Anbar governor" and take measures to ensure to modify the Iraqi policy .. "the center said the testimony of the Defense Intelligence Agency director, Michael Flynn, told the Senate Armed Services Committee in the Senate, February 2014, warning of "the pursuit Daash to control the land in Iraq and Syria, along with retaining a number of safe havens for their activities inside Syria."

Upsurge in the province autonomy in Iraqi Kurdistan leaders comments were the focus of attention Hdsonmarba Institute believes that "the biggest challenge lies in the ability to demarcate the border, which has not been a strong onion right of self-determination or even material wealth .. but in shifts geostrategic and repositioning larger and more powerful countries strength. "He added that in this aspect," Israel is unique to other regional players and Aldulin, on top of Turkey, Iran and the United States, having a desire to promote the (detachable) independent Kurdistan

While explained the Washington Institute for Near East Affairs, said, "Turkey is prepared to see a Kurdish state on its borders and function to form a buffer zone .. and shape rush rapid Daash pressure multiplier on Turkey to develop its relations with the Iraqi Kurds and what it requires from Turkey retreat from some red lines drawn by the former and not تجاوز الاكراد لها ..” واضاف انه عند اقدام اقليم كردستان على اعلان استقلاله “ستكون انقرة في الصف الاول لاستغلاله والاعتراف به .. وباتت التطورات تشير بوضوح الى ان داعش تشكل خطرا داهما اوسع على تركيا مقارنة مع اعلان اكراد العراق الاستقلال”

Iran

He appealed to the Carnegie Institute of European Union countries for a review of his positions with Iran "in close cooperation with the United States, and beyond the scope of the ways the current cooperation between their respective teams to negotiate .. especially since the role of the EU countries about the Iranian issue is not given the right by the American people at the time who enters factor Congress to exercise a crucial role in a number of US boycott decisions .. and harness the collective influence to secure US approval to ease sanctions at reaching a comprehensive agreement (with Iran), or invent a new collective path towards Iran in the event of the failure of the negotiations with it. "

NATO's future

In the rare evaluation of its kind, called the Carnegie Institute of NATO countries, "Review of priorities" strategy in the light of the produced by the Ukrainian crisis, which proved that "the alliance did not provide enough for the continuity of existence justification .. On the contrary, the obvious differences in the positions of the members of the alliance about the seriousness of the threat to Russia could push the countries of the alliance to more distance, as is demonstrated by Poland disappointment (and doubts) in the continuity of the cohesion of the alliance. "He warned against turning the alliance to" Keep Fund of the tools and equipment used in favor of the coalition of the willing whenever they want, and who will not be able to maintain the sustainability of cohesion .. but the restoration of its members a common concept of the nature of the challenges and risks. "It is indicated by the Ukrainian crisis," Highlighting on what should be the members of the alliance done expeditiously. "

: Analysis

: America's Independence Day

Stubbornness, confusion, and cracks in the structures of state institutions

          Jasper American individual since childhood steeped Bnmozjah and exceptional political his system and thrown off as the best system and the best in the world referentiality provisions of the Constitution and the separation of powers between, on the one hand, and between the religious authority, but what differs from his predecessors system of the British Empire; and monopoly features and peculiarities and Control the destiny of the human peoples

On the anniversary celebration of the United States "independence" from its origins empire and Zhoha constitutional text gives citizens the right to bring down the government that violate freedoms, newly emerged signs of cracking governance mechanisms and multiple setups and inheritance balances among themselves, in parallel with the growing collective feelings against the government's use of its influence to curb Civil liberties preserved rather than promotion and protection. Indicators polls, devised by the window of power in the power to legislate intervention at a time best suited to serve their interests, recently indicate a steady pace to the case of public frustration with the leaders and political institutions, and the deviation of the Supreme Court Foundation for its mission in the victory of the priority of constitutional provisions on distorting the balance and alignment practices, along with team against another, which summoned the forces of KERA and segments affected to protest and demonstrate consistently against orientations restrictive

In the technical side of pure, the Supreme Court issued four consecutive decisions, last week, the joint floored that President Obama's administration "went beyond the constitutional powers" and undermined the area of ​​freedom, not in order to safeguard the provisions of the Constitution also assume its mission and raison d'etre, but alignment of the side against the policies of internal management powers, the most prominent of the comprehensive health care program - Obama Care, and the interests of large companies and economic interests. Also, the Supreme Court's decisions reinforced delinquency conservative social forces directing their anger and political frustration about what it insists on calling "illegal immigration" to the citizens of Central and Latin American countries to the US territory, and the detention of the survivors from the torment of the trip, young and old of both sexes, in humiliated concentration camps before repatriation forcibly to the common border areas with Mexico. In contrast, President Obama was quick, on the anniversary of independence, to promote "the country's rich history as a nation made up of immigrants to comply with the rule of law .." which is one of the fundamentals of the American official discourse, both internally and internationally

Popular protests indicate a growing social divide, political and economic roots, which calls for the question that American society was split on the doors wider and mounting waves of protest. The biggest is likely that the American scene on the verge of growing pace of protests and demonstrations reinforced worsening social and economic differences and declining freedoms area and the growing opposition to those affected by the influence of the security services, which are still secrets interventions in the pettiness of everyday life for citizens to be reported steadily. The conditions described by a law professor at Harvard University, Lawrence Singh, saying, "The Americans thought of all affiliations of the political spectrum that the American political system is broken and disabled. Well over 90% of us (citizens) is likely the root of the failure to the dominant role of money on politics, "and politicians. He instigator citizens to move to the centers of power in the "Washington is corrupted and will not take the initiative to reform itself - should do the citizens to take initiatives" to put an end to corruption and political capital

Varied contributions and investigations seeking to unravel mechanisms of the American system of government, few of them touched the core of the system and its composition and dive into the social and historical laws governing, and took refuge in the bulk of them to launch a ready-made canned provisions in anticipation of mantras Bmhacn system Compare systems other, especially in a number of developing countries including the Arab countries, while ground zero scientific comparison between systems mostly brought to perform the function or phrase specific functions of the service system and the prevailing trade-off western and American-style challenge

A dose of realistic and objective supported by the narrative and analysis accuracy we highlight the cash to get to know, but the mechanisms governing relations between American citizens and political power presented to the public by drawing on perspectives of what came to be realistic and concrete has become clear from the division between advertising and reality

Limited governmental powers, separation of powers and the rule of joint

American system combination stands pillar "separation" authorities for each other and promote the principle of rule by consensus and partnership between the three components: the executive (president); and legislative (both houses of Congress); and the judiciary (represented by the Supreme Court), to ward off the monopoly of power by one of them on the other two account. The question of sovereignty "national and nationalist" is also a common issue between the central government and local authorities States and the people, was reached after a form of trial and error conflict lasted for about 15 years before docking selection on the current formula

The first rule formula has become known as the Council of "Continental Congress" which was held on 5 September 1774 and was elected "Peyton Randolph" a President who became the first president of the American Union. While carrying out his foreign policy and the powers of waging war, but the real authority was limited due to the nature of the character of the composition of the Council as a framework collector "states (states) sovereign" limit his powers, but since reached a consensus among themselves

Weekly Report 06-27-2013

June 29, 2014 thinktankadmin Weekly Report of the American research centers

Submitted

.alarac Still in the eye of the storm US

Will review the analysis section centenary of the incident solutions simple begun and superficial, however, he had formed Detonation the First World War - the assassination of Grand Duke Franz Ferdinand, and the similarities in the then historical conditions and warn him lineups and axes and hot spots in the current circumstances, and approach the conditions that would provoke conflict difficult Altba Pinhayate

Summary of studies and activities of the research centers

Iraq

        He expressed the Center for Strategic and International Studies, believes that the United States was "an urgent need to formulate a new strategy with the Eastern Mediterranean," consistent with the demands of the military supreme commander of the former NATO forces, Jim Stavridis, adding that he should be on the decision-makers "Start Search and reach a modern concepts transformations taking place in the whole region .. and accommodate regional developments and convenient as required by the capitals of the region of the role of American influence .. and work to rehabilitate security policy of a regional. "The center and preached that the future plan will highlight and make more efforts and studies and research" to Acetknah area has returned to the forefront of strategy and risk "We also

Wilson Center for Studies addressed by the US options in Iraq, especially since the "political challenges to the United States enormous - and perhaps insurmountable .." warning decision makers aligned to "ready and quick recipes." He added that the impact of a modest air strikes that is not accompanied by "engagement forces own .. by the Iraqi army forces assigned clearance work, and the police forces assigned tasks to maintain the areas, and Iraqi political leadership ensures the legitimacy of the functions of the advancement and construction "

The Washington Institute for Near East Policy reviewed the "Send Hezbollah troops to Iraq and fight the organization Daash," noting that a small modest strength "may prove their ability to discount .. The war department in Syria require a high commitment from Hezbollah with regard to many individuals and the nature of the reinforcement .. Yet taking into account the readiness of the party to comply with the call of Iran providing support to Syria, the party may react with the call to fight in Iraq also .. Vanjarat party is not necessarily the deployment of large numbers of hundreds of fighters, but a limited number of components with expertise and experience in training and tasks of the Special Forces Affairs . "However, the institute saying that involved such" will not overtax the capacity of the party

Carnegie Institute in turn was considered "Hezbollah intervention in Iraq caused by straining forces in Syria, and weakened inside Lebanon," especially since it came to be "the target of bombings, car bombs since July of last year .." He explained that the aggravation of the current crisis in Iraq contributed to the "pump New momentum for battle against the party in Lebanon, "claiming that he contributes about 5,000 component in Syria. Institute questioned the ability of the "Party of God to send a large force to protect Shiite holy shrines in Iraq .." Following the speech, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah in front Codar Party declaring his willingness "to provide martyrs in Iraq, more than five times fell in Syria."

Egypt

Accept the Carnegie Institute situations Egypt after the presidential election, accusing the "interim military regime by repeating his predecessors experience appeasing Nazarenes, especially in maintaining their positions as employees in the state apparatus," which has a population of employees about six million "and include state security and two police forces, the police and military. "

Identity liberal regimes

Reviewed the Fund, "the German Marshall" what he called the future of liberal pluralism of governments in the region, adding that "Tunisia has the best possibilities for the application .. liberal values ​​in the Arab world .." Remarkably, considering the need for attention to research centers "and liberals supporters of reform," the developments in Tunisia. As for the rest of the states should be "a model for the individual care .. and stimulate decision-makers to formulate realistic goals, and accept the fact that the Arab countries interminable siege authoritarian leaderships and societies torn adoption"

Afghanistan

He Hudson Institute believes "a growing concern among Russian leaders from the early withdrawal of NATO forces from the region," the security and its repercussions on the country, especially since Russia "really threatened by religious extremists in the North Caucasus region and other regions of Russia, which has a large Muslim communities." He added, The Russian leaders "expressed their dissatisfaction with the decision of the NATO withdrawal from Afghanistan, while still at risk borne Taliban insurgency, which will contribute to the promotion of terrorism, drug trafficking and instability in the whole Central Asian region."

American Enterprise Institute, expressed his dissatisfaction with the decision of the Congress to keep the fleet of fighter aircraft of the model A-10, used in the US Air Force and their missions in the Iraqi and Afghan airspace. He supported the leadership of the Air Force's decision to abandon the said Fleet, who came parallel to the decision of President Obama and the leadership of the Joint Chiefs of Staff that the United States "will not engage in major operations to combat terrorism or rebuilding states or launching a long-term operations to stabilize .. which requires the assignment of the fleet of fighter jets from model A-10 to retire, and the Congress will join it in the end. "

: Analysis

C in the First World War

Hot spots warn of the outbreak of new wars

Marks the first day of Ramadan, 1435 AH, Saturday June 28, 2014, the centenary of the incident led to the outbreak of World War I, according to official accounts of the centers of the capitalist system, determined by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand, the Grand Duke and heir to the throne of Imperial Austro-Hungarian, Taatlty behind to obscure the bitter conflict between capital centers to control and extend domination and influence. As proven individual assassination on its ability to lure a number of major powers to a grinding war led to the destruction of millions of people and the destruction of entire communities founded implications for cases of non-current stability and control and foreign influence on the capabilities and resources of other peoples. Assassination also led to the tsarist fall in Russia and the outbreak of the socialist revolution, which established the elements of the Cold War after several decades; and the rise of fascism, led by Hitler in Germany, and his quest to take control of other people, which led to the outbreak of the second world war more severe and painful and destructive than its predecessor

Characterized the period of time in which Ferdinand was assassinated era where there was peace between nations and world powers, taking into account that the two neighboring countries of France and Germany did not Chtbeka in war since 1870; also saw the convergence between other European powers: Britain, Germany and Czarist Russia because of the complexity of relations between families ruled by the then

In the official version, the assassination of Ferdinand form a watershed era changed attributes: caught the Balkans and the European colonial powers vied to exert influence and control over other people's resources, represented under the control of the Austrian-Hungarian Empire and the Ottoman Empire and the Russian Empire areas. The former used the incident to exert control and influence over other areas in the Balkans, and demanded Sarajevo, capital of the Serbian state, place the assassination incident, to make concessions humiliating which led refusal to submit to its neighbor to declare war on them, and Kurt Rosary then declare war on the countries of inferior influential paved the ground for the outbreak of war Great

Russian Empire, Serbia's ally, declared war on its part of the Austro-Hungarian empire; followed by Germany to declare war on Russia; and France declared war on its neighbors to support Russian ally; and Britain declared war on Germany after the recent invasion of Belgium on their way to the occupation of France

Down the researchers and historians consider objects of similarities between the circumstances of yesterday and today, and we can compare it to what is happening in the Arab world from wars and tearing programmer and fragmentation of communities and the dismantling of national states. At the time, knew about the assassination port Serbian origin, Gavrilo Princip, the radical political affiliation; today, the region is rife with political and religious militancy and the other atonement and the heart of the priorities which could lead to sparking the explosion-like accident Sarajevo. Balkan then was on a powder keg an explosive; the Arab world as a whole is sitting on a powder keg ignites conflicts and clashes are increasing the brunt unit at an accelerated pace, as well as for its distinctive and geopolitical conflicts of interests of big and small states in the exclusive control of its resources and its future

: When we went to look at a number of scenarios that would constitute a fuse and a large explosion in the region, we find the following

Strait of Hormuz

Grown in importance and vitality of the Strait of Hormuz for global trade and the flow of crude oil and oil tanker crossed by 20-30 per day, with an average tanker every six minutes at peak hours, loaded with about 40% of seaborne the world's oil exports. He had earlier repeatedly threatened to shut the Strait of Iran in the event of exposed soil to aggression Grbe- "Israeli" and hastened international political and business circles to inflatable harbinger of war that exacerbated the situation

Among other elements and events that will ignite the fuse explosion and closing the strait, the most prominent American move - "Israeli" - a European joint exposed Iran's nuclear efforts, led by launching "Israel" an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities - which will require the green light American necessarily. In return Iran would retaliate by firing a barrage of rockets and ballistic missiles against the source of aggression accompanied by the closure of the strait to commercial traffic and the movement of the US fleet in the Arabian Sea and the Arabian Gulf waters, and enhance the current military locations in the islands of Abu Musa and Tunb

NATO would respond in conjunction with the United States to deploy military forces mission re-open the strait in front of traffic, which collectively can cause material damage to the Iranian side, who will resort to expand engagement with placements and other Western interests in the region: the US military bases and oil wells in the Gulf in addition to the "Israel," which in turn would respond strongly does not exclude recourse to the use of nuclear warheads against Iran

Strategists experts predict the survival of both Russia and China clash outside the arena at the beginning of it, is likely to engage Syria and Hezbollah, Iran's allies, fighting in rocket attacks and possibly incursions in the occupied Galilee region of Palestine. Then "Israel" had no choice but to respond and expand the engagement of the coast of the Mediterranean Sea to the Persian Gulf waters

Brings together all the parties that the repercussions of such an engagement would be enormous at all levels, has seen similar results to those that prevailed during the first world war of the fall of the ruling families of systems and replace the most radical systems and orientation. In the level of casualties is expected to rise as a result of preparing for a huge entry of weapons of mass destruction and the proliferation of multiple reactions to outside the borders of the province

The prospect for a local coup in one of the Gulf Cooperation Council

The ruling families in all countries of the Arab Alkhilj trading hereditary rule and increasingly widening rift between the quasi-absolute privileges and the deteriorating conditions of its citizens, and reminds us of the recent history of several coup attempts against her had failed, but that does not mean that attempts wiped out or been Ladha

The ruling families in the "Saudi Arabia" and Bahrain are the most prone to coups that would welcome them when they occur and will gain formal recognition of Iran, at least, that some military units may move to support and promote the new authorities. Step Iranian putative may pay the other Gulf states to insert troops also "in response to the call of the brothers in the royal family" to control the oil resources, has military forces of Western countries are moving under the guise of "maintaining the flow of oil wells" to European markets, which will result in the outbreak of large-conventional war include all the Gulf region

The multiplicity of parties involved and the various interests in fighting reinforces suspicions that the nature of the war has been beyond the control of the fight by conventional means, and heading towards further escalation if Iran had successfully shut down the Strait of Hormuz is not in front of traffic, but also to block any reinforcements for NATO forces in favor of the traditional powers in the Gulf . Hold on to this form of conflict rule out "Israel" engagement and less likely evolution of the conflict to enter the battlefield nuclear weapons

Iraq, Syria and Daash

What witnessed by Iraq of large outbreak of fighting holds between inbuilt possibility of development to fight big crisis, which involved multiple parties, especially the Kurds and Daash and Iran, and the governments of Syria and Iraq, as well as the radical forces and backers regional and international that are looking to take control of the most important pillars of the Fertile Crescent geographically and politically

The outcome of the reality on the ground suggests not a party's ability to single-handedly decide the outcome of the battle: swore to Iran, Syria and Iraq dominated the capitals and major cities, while the broader rural areas are beyond the authority of the central state. Daash organization was able to control large tracts of land in Iraq and Syria, however, that the idea of ​​radical exclusionary not inappropriately in the Arjoha win support among the population base, which is in the military defeat of pure science. Some hardline and incitements other powers find refuge and support in systems and the Gulf states have been unable to translate the physical influence field victories attributed to herself. The biggest beneficiary in the current stage is the Kurdish representatives of the Kurdish provincial government in Iraq, taking advantage of the opportunity to enhance the extent of their influence and their grip on the rest of the aspects of Iraqi Kurdistan in pursuit of an independent state on the ruins of Iraq after disassemble

It is worth mentioning that the organization Daash waging a war on two fronts simultaneous in Iraq and Syria together, and stalled his progress in the land of black, prompting strategists from military commanders say that the interest of the organization Daash convert his strength and resources of the military to the Syrian arena in order to defeat the Syrian Balmelchiat other Syrian government both, and switch back to Iraq after extra hard to achieve his goals in Syria

Daash organizing practices in both Iraq and Syria does not indicate an intention to provide exercise tips has military leaders, but also expanded the incursion circle and Tfjerath west of the Lebanese arena, proudly higher quantity of weapons, vehicles and equipment that Gnmha of the Iraqi army at the start of his invasion. A unique twist on the media front payment operators and financiers Daash to warn of the dangers of expansion in the region, in concert with the parties to confront major Syria and Iraq, which will enhance the parties to the conflict of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Turkey, Jordan, on one hand, and Russia and Iran on the other hand to pump more means of support and fighting to keep the conflict raging in Syria and reap more lives and destruction - the only achievement to Syria's opponents camp

Warning supporting states to regulate Daash the risk of expansion and threatening to their capitals threatens wide swath of conventional war in the region, especially in light of indications put Daash mind the Iraqi border area with the Arabian Peninsula in conjunction also with calls for strong currents against the Iraqi government the need to provide support and protection for Daash triggering PANIC "Saudi Arabia" security services and the rest of the Gulf of apprehensive beforehand she would not be able to engage in a clash within its borders because of the complexities of social and tribal loyalties that fostered since loyalty to the homeland instead of time. Accordingly, Jordan rushed to the UA and "fortify" its border with Iraq in anticipation of any emergency

Mounting aspects of the conflict is likely to enter the Zionist entity beyond the levels which proved so far to provide support and logistical support to the forces of the Syrian opposition exploit the opportunity preoccupation with the Syrian Arab army in the fight against terrorism and pay off the Golan front in preparation for the establishment of a buffer zone there to protect the Zionist entity. In this regard, and based on that the priorities of the Zionist entity and the GCC as well as Turkey and Jordan, is to undermine the foundations of the state and the entity of Syria, it is not unlikely that combined to fight al Daash progress again in Iraq and support to confine the scope of its operations in Syria, and perhaps in Lebanon to mix Securities again there and keep the flame of the conflict inflamed

Iraqi Kurdistan

Turkey's ambitions in Iraq and its wealth is not born of the moment, but the Turkish educational curricula is still under the shadow of "Freedom and Justice Party" refers to the government of the province of Mosul as a province of Turkey should return to the bosom of the state. Which contributed to the timing of the current support for the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq to set up an independent entity, compared with Turkey's firm stance previously threatening to invade the region in the event of the oldest Kurdish forestall such a move to Turkey's Kurds claim likewise

Regional variables and international developments will stand a barrier in front of the announcement of an independent Kurdish state formally, but the number of parties, notably Turkey and the Zionist entity will continue to support the consolidation of Iraqi Kurdistan's independence in defiance of the international climate in the belief that it undermines the unity and cohesion of Iraq. The presence of Al Daash and overlaps with the Kurdish areas could push the Kurdistan Regional Government to communicate with him on a cease-fire and inducing to harness its forces to other fronts to confront Turkey and Iran, and thus continue threatening both Baghdad and Damascus

Syria: collapse or a coup or assassination of President al-Assad

Opponents of Syria's regional and international expressed explicitly on their quest to oust President Assad's assassination, since the crisis began, and they failed to do so; According to realize the major driving forces for the forces of terror to the importance and centrality of Syria under the leadership of President al-Assad and its firm commitment to the unity of the nation and the unlimited support for the resistance forces, particularly surrounding the Palestine Territories - the southern province of Syria. The controversy, the absence of the President al-Assad specifically without other Arab leaders from the scene will provide the opportunity that awaited Syria's opponents could lead to igniting a broader conflict in the region, similar to the circumstances which led to the absence of the Grand Duke Franz Ferdinand, due to the complexities of the international situation and the emergence of powerful forces out of control American and Western, by, and isolation of the traditional American power on the other hand, as well as the vulnerability of its regional allies in the Arab Gulf states and the crisis of the Zionist entity, hand striking traditionally

Syrian opposition bonded to the outside of the armed formations, especially organizing Daash, still hopes in the absence of President Assad, more or less, but the operators of regional and international retain the decision and control, and probably will be the biggest beneficiary of which is to regulate Daash because of the potential of the vast resources that fall under his control , not the least of wells and oil wells in Syria. Accordingly, the operators plans to train and equip more opposition forces would go unheeded before Daash forces will not allow their competitors to one. This scenario also assumes that the move of the Zionist entity to bite off more of the Syrian land and construction of sprawling buffer zone

The situation in other parts of the world

No one argues in international situations correlation to each other, evidenced by the conflicts major powers during the two world wars. In the First World War rose to prominence Germany, particularly in Africa, at the signing of the armistice agreements between the conflicting forces, and quoted its control over the colonies in the Pacific to its ally Japan, while other European countries focused, including the United States and field efforts to invade Serbia and fragmentation in order to distract attention emerging Soviet forces in the Russian interior, along with other targets

What is more like today's run yesterday, as the West seeks to destabilize the Middle East to promote the stability of Russia to the west and the restoration of territorial integrity of Ukraine contributed; as well as the NATO expansion in Eastern Europe, Russia stimulated to restore its glory during the Soviet era. Deployment of NATO military forces in the Middle East will lead Russia to reconsider its priorities and move towards Ukraine and the Baltic States, in accordance with the strategic concept of the geopolitical vacuum is not allowed

Also, took advantage of China opportunities busy West and the United States to strengthen its influence in the South China Sea waters touched a military clash with Japan, the Philippines and Vietnam, conscious also that the growing intensity of the conflict in the Middle East will require the United States to move a number of aircraft from the Asian water carriers to the region Arabian Gulf, which would displace the biggest danger in front of China to exert control and influence there

It is the same applies to North Korea, which will seize the opportunity in America's preoccupation with the Middle East to strengthen its influence in the region, the Department of

Events internal US also will influence the march of developments in the Middle East due to the entanglement of interests and the multiplicity of parties, and the erosion of the status and credibility of President Obama internally, multiple considerations that should be taken into account before taking any step, especially since it is no exception for the conduct of his predecessors, who sought to compensate Interior predicament foreign adventures - export crisis. In this context, consideration should be given to President Obama's recent remarks about the allocation of half a billion dollars for the training and arming the Syrian opposition forces distilled, which suffered defeats field can not be compensated in the foreseeable future

President Obama understands precisely the extent of opposition to the American people a new military adventures based on the deployment, especially in the Arab region, which Maguetha bitter taste of defeat after defeat in Vietnam military forces. However, the powers and internal conflict of interest may be paid to take a more serious attitudes portends more permanent clashes, named after the neo-liberal advice from the likes of Wolfowitz, and keep the conflict alive for decades to come

Tendency adventures of those that led to the outbreak of wars Konettin and chain attacks and the invasion of other countries and national entities: the empire Austro-Hungarian failed to estimate the response of Serbia reaction to the prognosis; Germany has also failed to appreciate the ally provided unconditional support to the adventures of the empire; American Empire failed repeatedly to estimate the point wars that I thought, perhaps definitive, that it can be resolved within a few months at the latest, and still reeling from poor estimates in Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq - and Syria are still witness to the miscalculation of US arrogance

Weekly Report 06-20-2013

June 22, 2014 thinktankadmin Weekly Report of the American research centers

: Introduction

  

The collapse of the Iraqi army and dash "Daash" form of the top concerns of the American research centers, and the situation is still unstable due to the outbreak of renewed fighting there

Will review the analysis of the Iraqi crisis and the options available to the Department of the United States in the face of the determination of "Daash" direction and control of Baghdad, multiple intervention or not and scenarios, and the likely possibilities that foreshadows the division of Iraq, according to the rule "fait accompli"

Summary of studies and activities of the research centers

Iraq

        Considered Rand Foundation, the United States and Western countries hesitation to take a decision for military intervention in Syria and Iraq contributed directly in the field victories to organize "Daash .. favorable climate for control of the vast land and fled to the east of Syria and western Iraq .. and the expansion of the sectarian divide between Sunnis and Shiites in throughout the region. "He added that the repercussions of the current round of" resonate arrived to Lebanon and Jordan .. .., Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states and the recent concern of possible disturbances of Shiite citizens

Foundation warned of "continuing wave the Syrian opposition to arm as the military option is not the desired solution;" Remarkably, the American ruling establishment view that "the solution may lie in the settlement negotiations, including negotiations with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad .. whatever seemed unpalatable to the West", especially since the Syrian crisis, "have come to represent a serious threat to the stability of all of Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey and the Gulf region, as well as the interests of the West's oil" throughout the region

Welcomed the Center for Strategic and International Studies, the content of President Obama's speech on Iraq, "and the decision to send about 300 element military advisers .. as this would guarantee a US presence significantly, along with the Iranian presence .." He explained that the US decision "will keep the pressure based on Nouri al-Maliki or successor to address the real threats from militants .. as well as providing a guarantee for each of the allies in Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates that the United States did not provide for the owners of freedom of movement

In contrast, the Cato Institute rejected the US military intervention in Iraq, warning that "the American bombardment of sites Daash on behalf of the Iraqi government does not change the balance of forces based in Iraq .. It is likely that our intervention lasts for a long time there has been delay the achievement of the required political reforms

Turning the Center for Strategic and International Studies to the beneficiaries of the "victories Daash in Iraq," is checked Syrian President Bashar al-Assad is one of those forces, "due to his quest for clarification to the world that he is battling foreign jihadists .. and the intensification of the conflict in Iraq imposes go jihadists from Syria into there." He concluded by saying "The progress in Iraq Daash represents good news (President) Assad

Weekly Report 06-13-2013

June 15, 2014 thinktankadmin Weekly Report of the American research centers

Submitted

The main contribution came from the Carnegie Institute in a comprehensive study entitled "Global variables to the Syrian crisis," in which he highlighted a number of factors and actors in the conflict, in the strategic and geopolitical dimensions

Will address the analysis section phenomenon growing missteps and miscalculations for the Obama administration, and get to know, but the factors that contribute to the wording of the resolution to have lapses and political hiccups accompaniment, which causes back to structural reasons in the nature of the institution of the Presidency, as well as the narcissism of the president and not Asgaúh well divergent views outside his circle of advisers close

Summary of studies and activities of the research centers

US war lessons

        The Center for Strategic and International Studies study dealt with the lessons learned from the American aggression on Iraq and Afghanistan, saying that it should be "made major strategic values ​​above all else at all times .. (and applied) unabated .." and warned of "the trap of falling in love process or adopted .. wars that are not involved in a real threat to US strategic interests fall under options and possible loss, or avoid, or put an end to them under conditions that are not satisfactory. "He added that should the decision-makers," not to bet on a satisfactory end never to fight .. and to clarify the obligations of the US clearly whenever possible. "

Syria

Accept the Carnegie Institute's role regional players in the perpetuation of the Syrian crisis, adding that "the local nature of the conflict shows the difficulty palatable external actors have, not to mention their ability dynamics interlocking and complex control at the grassroots level." He concluded by saying that whatever the outcome of the end of the conflict, the future of Syria "indicates the It will remain constant dependence on external support and vulnerable to foreign influence for decades to come. "

Turning Institute to compete with the interests of the Arab Gulf states in Syria, expressing his belief that "the Cooperation Council's policies on Syria will continue to be demarcated based on security concerns factor in the context of the requirements of each country separately .. and will lead the multi-influence to further split loyalties and the emergence of extremist tendencies among Syrian opposition. "

In the same context, the role of Iran Institute eat that "prevented a multi-faceted assistance from the collapse of the system (President) Assad, but the perpetuation of the conflict there may indicate the difficulty they face in Tehran to maintain its financial support levels .. especially since graduating from under the cloak of the boycott measures Economic does not seem imminent, which doubles the internal control procedures for the audience groaning from external pressures and poor internal management. "He stressed that the role of the Institute on Iran between the" year of the Arabs to retreat. "

The dimension "Israeli" in the Syrian crisis, the institute that has seen the audience settlers Zionists "taut attention to the ways of preventing the leakage of the repercussions of the crisis to Israel, Jordan, Lebanon .. and determined also to prevent that Lebanon has become a springboard to launch or support violent actions against Israel." He expressed grave concern Institute for Zionist leaders "and having to live with a nuclear agreement reached with Iran would reduce shrinkage and economic sanctions against the regime, and give them a broader view of the legitimate space and freedom of movement for intervention in Syrian affairs - Lebanese"

He also reviewed the Institute's study prospects "lie threats against Lebanon as a result of the Syrian crisis and its repercussions .. especially timely open the doors to recruit two walls destitute refugees in the ranks of the radical currents .. and the consequent mounting security challenges."

Iraq

        Russia was the concern of the foundation for the institution Haritaj about visiting Obama's recent, as it urged him to "tell Russia clearly that any prompt a military aggression against a NATO member state will necessitate him to call the alliance to convene immediately and work under Article V of the North Atlantic Convention of 1949 .. The emphasis European allies that the future of the alliance is subject to increase spending on defense capabilities and readiness of all members of the alliance stand against a Russian attempt to restore the area of ​​influence in the independent Eastern Europe and the Caucasus countries. "institution and demanded that the alliance Champions Agreement countries meeting with Russia in 1997," that limit the military presence of NATO in Eastern Europe

Many armed forces retreat NATO considered the American Enterprise Institute to develop its functions developed in the creation of a "small ground forces and fast-moving expensive mainly engages in the number and wide variety of emergencies outside their range." She added that those forces "gained combat experience in the Balkans, Africa, Iraq and Afghanistan Yards, "striking considering that reducing prepared probably" caused by limitations of military budgets, and its lack of required equipment to be deployed quickly, "as the" planned cuts ground forces US .. will lead to near NATO loss support key member has a strategic capabilities - the ability to territorial control and residents together

He expressed the Washington Institute disturbed by Turkey's attempts to "self for the alliance to distance .. and take a closer look at the long-term future direction of concern." He explained that "the ongoing changes in pulse popular procedure, and trafficking patterns, thinking geostrategic" all key indicators of shifts in direction Turkey toward the West for decades to come. "He called the decision-makers to work to" study these changes and seek to mitigate the negative consequences whenever possible

Cato Institute expressed his belief that the US share of military spending budget is the highest among the NATO countries, prompting its members' dependence on the US defense expenditures to enhance their status. . Caused by a culture of dependency and subordination which Augdnaha to have. "He added that the take-off European countries to allocate more resources for defense affairs has led to" a situation in which our allies wealthy came to be, including the wings of a subsidiary "of the United States and the situation will remain as it is," the military situation for NATO marginalized and irrelevant

Syria

Carnegie Institute said that the presidential elections in Syria, "and solidified the direction of the Syrian leadership in the campaign against terrorism," in line with the campaign-like "Egyptian President-elect, Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. Institute claimed that the Syrian government "will continue to allow the armed groups operating in Syria, such as the Islamic state in Iraq and Syria to exercise their activities in order to focus attention on the intersection of the interests of Syria and Western countries in the fight against terrorism .. President Assad and Sisoq itself as a trusted partner to global efforts to combat terrorism." The Institute has warned Western countries "not to repeat the mistake that lies in the Egyptian scene .. and the West needs to act decisively to break the cycle of hypocrisy, which paved the way for a number of Arab dictatorships .. positioning security as allies of the West

Egypt

Urged Washington Institute for the US government to move forward in its relationship with Egypt "and submit them to the strategic level .. which requires (US) to strengthen bilateral alliances weakened, and focus on the importance of security cooperation .. and promote economic and democratic reforms." However, to say that a non-United States "recognize limits their impact and influence .. and take a long term view and prioritization to win multilateral support for any political initiative

Iraq

She Haritaj Foundation to the importance of addressing "to terrorize the Islamic state in Iraq and Syria, accusing the Obama administration of negligence" for failing to deal with the outbreak of the al Qaeda threat in Iraq .. and should work closely with the new Iraqi government to fight Daash and implement a comprehensive strategy for national reconciliation in order to drying sources of support for the rebels

New Center for Strategic and International Studies, his view of the source of the challenges facing Iraq, "which is the accumulation of mistakes series committed before and after the invasion led by the United States .. continuous jogging restoration of wounds caused by a self deeds .." and urged the Iraqi government not to look to the outside to solve their problems "and not able to any force external conditions change. "

"Peace negotiations."

Urged the Carnegie Institute of EU states to move to revive the round of bilateral negotiations between the Palestinian Authority and "Israel," a look reinforced by "several continuous Europe was the incubator for suggestions multiple solutions contracts;" remarkable considering that the EC and the United States prior to the adoption of a proposal of the Minister of Foreign Affairs two-state solution in 1971

And the growing strength of the Jihadi Salafi groups

A study released by the Institute "Rand" that the number of "Salafi Jihadi groups and fighters" had ballooned alarmingly "since 2010," and branched patch deployment, which the United States must "sustain the focus on the goal of combating the spread of jihadist groups, which regained its forces in northern Africa and the Middle East

According to the study, said the structure of the jihadist groups have evolved and moved away from the central pattern, as "distributed leadership's decision and control on four levels: 1 - the central nucleus of the base group led by Ayman al-Zawahiri, based in Pakistani territory; 2 - Two groups in Syria, Somalia, Yemen and North Africa yards have announced allegiance to the nucleus Central; 3 - diverse groups of Salafi jihadists declared allegiance to al Qaeda, however, it is determined to establish an Islamic emirate; 4 - networks and members of the Fans "Al-Qaeda message

She said the threat of those groups mixed and complex since they "showed weak interest in attacking Western targets, while form other groups, such as al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula, a direct threat to the American Lands .. and a number of jihadi groups Salafist pose a medium-term threat because of its desire and ability to target American citizens and institutions outside the territory, including the US embassies

The study urged decision-makers to the need to reach an acceptable formula to provide capabilities required in conjunction with the new bound strategy toward Asia requirements in light of the reduction of military budgets restrictions, "and develop a strategy for adapting to counter-terrorism requirements aimed at jihadist groups Salafist in Syria, which share amounted to more than half of all groups for 2013 in the entire world, and addressing whether the secret ways or in cooperation with regional allies and local

: Analysis

Obama's European visit: induction of NATO to face Russia

Renewal of NATO tasks

American political arena witnessed Troyja broad and large hopes commented on the visit of President Obama, each of Brussels, to attend a summit of the seven industrialized nations conference with the exception of Russia, and France to commemorate the battle of the Allies, which promised decisive Nazi defeat, represented military inflicting huge on the shores of the French Normandy Province. Also, arrange to visit major US efforts "to activate" NATO military and re-European countries participating to the fold of the alliance in light of domestic economic conditions poor, and the announcement of Obama (also followed by US Secretary of Defense statement, Chuck Hagel), said his country has developed a pool of funds worth billion dollars for contributions in order to support the Europeans also urged them to "restructure the hierarchy of the alliance," without prejudice to his top goals "and the establishment of a subsidiary of a military intervention force to deploy in the streets of the Middle East, Asia and Africa

More importantly perhaps expectations disparate and sometimes contradictory possibility of direct bilateral meeting between the US president and his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, to discuss the most heated issues between the two countries: Ukraine and Syria, which have witnessed a simultaneous presidential elections; received the first support and the support of an American, while faced second proactive province of the results, describing Baker-Hamilton descriptions before they occur, to confirm the results wrap millions of the Syrian people and to cast their votes heavily to sign in order to preserve the Syrian state and national project

Upcoming meeting was a disappointment after several disappointing prevent President Obama appearing with President Putin, or near it, which forced the French host, Francois Hollande, to eat dinner twice at intervals of two hours with the guests without being met. One of President Obama's adviser for National Security Affairs and the accompanying him in the visit, the son of Durres, said that the two presidents Obama and Putin held a later discussion bilaterally on the sidelines of the ceremony to celebrate, stressing that an informal discussion, "she informal conversation and not a bilateral meeting officially," in the wake of the announcement Elysee Palace for their meeting

Perhaps what was going on in the mind of President Obama's extreme displeasure of France a few hours before the announcement of the summit meeting that it is moving forward to meet business obligations towards Russia, which bought two warships model "Mistral" to carry Marines and helicopters combat forces

Official visit of President Obama arrangements suffered a setback operational before you start, as it offers a US official "Big" in charge of the arrangements in Normandy to serious cases of swine flu, H1N1 , a few days from the start of the visit before taken to the hospital for treatment annexed to the French authorities to announce exposure About 20 residents of the disease and 10 others suspected exposure to the same bidder

International events and developments since the collapse of the former Soviet Union restored shed lights NATO members to continue to contribute to the budget and justification for its existence, especially since the stated goal of its founding has evaporated, ie the protection of Western countries to Germany's Federal Lands of armored ground attack comes Pact Aso

Raced former eastern European countries to win membership of NATO (NATO) after graduating from the mantle of the Warsaw Pact revived hope Brphi first new blood in the beginning, especially the three Baltic States: Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania, soon accompanied by a doubling placed on the Atlantic due to the fragility of the military burdens For those countries that "do not have any fighter aircraft and military forces and barely able to customize three armored vehicles combined." refers to the extent of the accompanying economic crisis, a request from Estonia allocation of 2% of the annual gross national product (GNP) to spend on military affairs, followed by the other Baltic states in the allocation of a growing proportion of Annual income for Military Affairs

The main European countries in the NATO fold deduct that percentage of annual output to spend on military affairs, which are constantly urging Washington to participate at a higher rate than the national income; and fell slightly against the specter of inflation and economic hardship. And complied with all of Britain and Greece to contribute 2%, along with Estonia's contribution, prompting Greece to justify its move came as a response to the Turkish motivated by greed and not to confront Russia. Other countries had the lowest share of that figure: Poland 1.8%; Germany 1.3%, Italy 1.2%; and failed both France and Turkey in the required contribution. Causing a decline in the general budget for NATO 1.6% in the past

In contrast, spending the United States amounted to about 4.1% of gross national product on military affairs

NATO's mission changes

United States was able to develop the structure of military power projects for the alliance of conventional military formations, before the collapse of the Warsaw Pact, to the fast-moving smaller forces used in the functions of the Rapid Intervention across the world, which is reflected in the reduction of European spending on military forces and turn the savings to spend on internal programs

Some Western experts rushed to the characterization of NATO after the Cold War as the "alliance of democracies rather than a military alliance." Known right-wing commentator, Charles Crawthamr, predicted in 2002 that "should reconsider the role of NATO to become more useful. The new mission must be interested in luring Russia incubator for entry to Europe and integration with the West. And that's exactly return to NATO's transformation from a military alliance into a club of democracies cross the Atlantic Ocean makes it easier for Russia to join NATO smoothly .. (old) has gone. Let's welcome Russia to join the new alliance

Needless to say, that prophecy has also gone, however, that the alliance will not be able to return to the practice of the original task processing and the stationing of a massive conventional military forces on German soil from within the contingency plan. Squares multiple confrontations has emerged waiting for what the alliance will do as well as the need to allocate additional resources to protect the weak and some of its members, helping them to the advancement and self-reliance on their strength

Accordingly, Poland occupies ahead and vital position in the renewable outlook for the alliance, especially because it has the largest military establishment, several hardware, system between the eastern European countries are pursuing a hostile policy against Russia. Poland also contributed to send a number of its military forces within NATO troops to Afghanistan, which enhances the ownership of the nucleus of trained military forces. At the Polish military forces around 900 armored and well over 100 combat aircraft, mostly from the Soviet Union industry but supported by modern German armor model "Leopard

Military commanders and strategists Americans realize the weakness of the military forces of NATO nations that share a border with Russia, with the exception of Turkey and Poland. Which calls for addressing the complexity of the tasks of the Alliance for Russia to move slow-motion, accompanied by fast-moving mobile forces take their spot on the territory of a member of the alliance threatened the state, and quickly able clash with Russian troops conventional military forces

And embarked on the United States to work to achieve this a long time ago, and sent in the month of April, about 600 element of paratroopers from the 173rd Airborne Brigade of the stationed in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland "to participate in military exercises conducted by the Alliance." It also strengthened the Air Detachment Polish aircraft additional F- -16 with their crews in order to communicate and develop ways of cooperation with the Polish Air Force. That's in addition to three large transport aircraft aircraft C-130J that thread in Bowidz air base in Poland, as part of the normal rotation procedures which are made ​​every two weeks

Argue those experts and strategists that NATO is another necessity to deploy troops and equipment already in the states that share a border with Russia, which enhances its mission as an initial clash allow for supplying them with a quick reinforcements in time of crisis

The air operations of NATO in the Baltic Sea States in application early on the dimensions of the next tasks. The United States has in the month of March to publish six other fighter aircraft F-15C to promote the four aircraft of the same class, and stationed in Lithuania enable them to rapidly move the aircraft encountered available to the Air Force in order to protect the Baltic states. Rotation of US troops table start early this year and ended at the beginning of the month of May. Since then took all of Poland, Britain, France and Denmark weather protection functions of the Baltic Sea

NATO is also the oldest to strengthen its military presence in South Eastern Europe, despite the decline and decay of opportunities for exposure to the threat. Canada has contributed a number of fighter aircraft to enhance the functions of NATO forces in air protection there. Moreover, there is also a rotation of the Black Sea based base "Mikhail Kogalnaciano," Air in Romania, which includes the stationing of about 250 component of the US Marine Corps Forces (Marines), add to it some 500 soldiers and 175 Marines American element residing temporarily at the base Air mentioned. Marine Corps is one of the components for the Marines of the functions of air-to-ground, which was formed in order to rapidly deploy to deal with a large number of military Manalamilit in Africa and Europe

Return to meet the NATO summit in Brussels should be noted taken additional measures to reach the urgent strengthening of the forces of NATO countries. NATO ministers of defense has approved a "plan of action to prepare for combat," which aims to develop the capacity to intervene to countries NATO forces, and update the intelligence capabilities and expeditionary NATO, and storage of military equipment and supplies already in the alliance littoral states on Russia, and the concentration of target military exercises for NATO forces on the face of the Russian threat . For its part, the United States promised to provide a few thousand military forces to promote the rapid intervention force, including a brigade of the first Cavalry Division troops, and a number of aircraft fuel and air supply warships escort

The defense ministers also approved a plan by Germany to promote the presence of multinational forces in Eastern Europe. NATO Secretary-General welcomed the decision Aldanimark, Germany and Poland to raise the readiness of the multinational forces stationed in the north-eastern part of Poland. He said, "The decision of pulling the sails of our capabilities to deal with future challenges in the region. As well as it is considering the issue of joint defense contribution

In the context of this expansion and renovation of the tasks assigned to NATO should be for the leadership to strengthen ways of cooperation with non-member states of NATO, "and pro-Western." Following a meeting with NATO defense ministers with counterpart Ukrainian, Michael Koval, members expressed their support for the government of Ukraine in its efforts to establish security and achieve reforms defense. Members of the meeting also agreed on the elaboration of a comprehensive aid package to Ukraine that will install the feet of the armed forces, and will reach the final formulation in the coming weeks

NATO leadership realizes its potential shortcomings in the deployment of large military units in the "front-states," and the need to step up the pace of training courses that require the recycling of additional troops on the territory of those countries, and at the same time strengthening the cooperation frameworks with multiple armed forces. And the leadership of the Alliance's military carried out a large military exercise launched by the "hard Spear 1 maneuvers," on the territory of Estonia began on May 16 and ended on 23 from him. And participated in the maneuvers him 6,000 troops Antamol of Belgium and Aldanimark, Estonia, France, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Britain, as well as US involvement. It is said that a good number of troops involved in the pre-positioning of Estonia and participate in the maneuvers, which began on May 5 and spread their mission to participate in NATO exercises later

Structural developments on NATO may call for the survival and armored units in service after gaining demobilization guidance, including a number belonging to the alliance members participating in the war on Afghanistan and who Kano preparing to bring out the heavy armor of the battlefield. It may also involve re variables attention to technique armor and growing more reliable than witnessed during the past decade. Accordingly, the US military-industrial complex sector will have the lion's share of the budgets of military forces and efforts to modernize the equipment and supplies

Are sufficient measures taken

After the end of the Cold War and the reduction of military budgets, spending has declined the size of NATO forces, escalated consultations between members of the alliance in an effort to restore the orientations of the alliance to suit the current challenges, and give each Member State to proceed with the modernization of its military forces

NATO still enjoy some advantages, including inflation-scale defense of what it was during the Cold War, as most of Western Europe and then signed within the range of Soviet troops fire. Today, that threat has missed all of Germany, France and Britain, has become more complicated for Russia to offer to direct military strikes Court states the basic alliance

US commanders within the ranks of the advantages of the alliance evolution of advanced military technology to its core: the United States, Britain, France and Germany; while the Russian army still depends on the equipment left over from the Cold War, as they say

Among other benefits of the alliance that the end of the Cold War and provided him with an opportunity to develop a rapid intervention forces able to do combat duty, as is happening in Afghanistan, which is prepared for direct confrontation with Russian troops. It is an opportunity that motivated the leaders of the alliance to compensate for deficiencies widespread deployment in Eastern Europe sprawling to rely on fast-moving forces able to engage immediately in any yard require it. It is said that those forces include a large number of elements of the combat-proven in Iraq and Afghanistan, which enhances the number of field weakening direct their performance

NATO commanders and possessing boasts a wide network and spread of ways logistical support - in military and commercial levels. Which translates fast and efficient deployment of forces required in Eastern Europe at the outbreak of the crisis; as well as the broad economic base for NATO compared to what is available to Russia

Considered mad adventures and wars and military slide that Russia still poses a threat to Europe, and an extension of the United States, and for a moment to thaw Asaraarham NATO countries took the matter to the high degree of seriousness. Recognizes that slide member states need the latest in the alliance to modernize its combat capabilities, which means a greater reliance on the basic NATO nations to provide advanced professional technical forces and fast-moving, and feel the face of the Russian armed forces. What is no longer a certainty when that slide is the extent of the commitment and sacrifice of NATO European financial resources are desperately needed to spend on the requirements and are preparing to enter into a cold war again remains the biggest beneficiary military-industrial complex on both sides of the Atlantic

Weekly Report 23/10/2013

May 25, 2014 thinktankadmin Weekly Report of the American research centers

Submitted

It should be noted at the beginning of the holiday weekend, which is considered the start of the summer holidays and involved in easing the intellectual output of the research centers Size

Analysis department will review the issue of a new weapon anti-missile system promoted by the "Israeli military establishment," based on the alleged weapons and missile development laboratories "to iron beam," with the participation of the United States; and also covered the joint military exercises between the two that took place recently, known as Juniper Cobra

Is an "iron beam," the latest production of the missile defense project, which harnesses the energy laser beam to intercept and destroy objects oriented, both rocket-propelled grenades or artillery or Aldrunz aircraft; it is a very complicated technique was unable to any country for a moment adaptation of the potential energy in the laser beam to military uses. Also added that the project is surrounded by a thick wall of secrecy, and led efforts to research and documentation to unravel a number of closed loops. And reach the center in its analysis to the conclusion that the Zionist entity did not "achieve technically a breach," as he claims, but the findings of the research is to achieve advanced results, limited and the cost is very high, to develop a promising defensive system

Summary of studies and activities of the research centers

The global role of the United States

Haritaj Foundation stressed the importance of the role of the United States "in maintaining global stability and security .. which calls for US national security policy effective .. check security element .. and avoid the terrible cost resulting from the weakness of benign force." He appealed to the decision-makers to invest in "rebuilding US military capabilities .. "to restore global prestige

Battle win over the Arab public opinion

He said the Foreign Policy Research Institute to shifts in the Arab public opinion and "swing US efforts to communicate the media with him .. big loss suffered by the island institution and move its audience to television networks, a national focus on the internal debates in the countries concerned .." and urged the Institute of the United States. " Media reconsider its strategy towards the Arab public opinion .. and adopt arrangements based on a local partnership with the media .. especially those with similar values ​​and American interests. "He added that some of those measures should be centered on the theme" topics such as the rule change .. authority law, and the heritage of equality, tolerance, and promote political climate based on logical thinking and debate deliberative

Syria

Scoffed at the American Enterprise Institute of Standards adopted by the United States "for the selection of the forces of the Syrian opposition on the positive attitudes of Israel exclusively .. especially since these groups .. does not share the United States values ​​the support of Israel and the rights of women and modify the disruption of the distribution of income .. etc" and warned continue that policy, "as the repercussions would hurt the United States and its allies and interests .. option available is a blind eye to Syria's post-Assad era, as we have done in Iraq, Libya, and soon in Afghanistan; or develop real foreign policy

Repercussions field achievements of the Arab Syrian army was of interest to the Institute of war studies. He said the horrors "affected almost all the main areas in Lebanon," which saw the growing waves of bombings and car bombings "before control of the opposition stronghold in Yabrud .. which formed a platform to attract a basic starting point and base support for hardline Sunni groups

"Military options" available to the United States has seen a renewed interest in the Institute of Washington, stressing aware "of the tendency of politicians, not military intervention .. and that should not mean the deployment of infantry forces .. However, the cost of non-intervention may be tougher." However, to say that he could accompany option military measures and other measures, including "strengthening the province's procedures and processes electronic piracy and the mobilization of forces (military) .. However, the US acted wise and firm has earned protect its interests" in the region

Egypt

He said the Institute of Strategic and International Studies to "some" variables regarding the development of Egypt in the regional equation and are the parties that have influence on the new power, "especially some of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) .. and marginalize the role of the United States, especially as some in the United States rejoiced to stay away from Egypt and slide into Gulf tribal systems extremely wealth. "He said that an effective strategy of the United States should" identify common priorities intersecting with those systems to move Egypt toward a destination and promising better

Iraq

He said the Washington Institute to the underlying role of the United States that you can repeat to do to ease the tension between the central government in Baghdad and Iraqi Kurdistan, in the wake of the recent parliamentary elections, appealing to American politicians, "starting from the results of the elections and built upon in order to enhance the stability of the government," and the country. It also urged them to activate "the export of oil and revenue sharing agreements which will pave the ground for Kurdish participation in the next Iraqi government .. Apart from al-Maliki, the presidency again or alternative personal

Libya

Considered the Washington Institute for the specter of civil war in Libya, "poses serious challenges to American policy .." aware that Washington has "great interest in defeating the militants," directed his criticism of recent moves "to Khalifa Haftar and supporters of federalism and militia Zintan hostile to the National Council .." and urged the Institute United States to support the "drafting committee consisting of 60 members constitution and strengthen national dialogue efforts instead of standing next to the National Council

Afghanistan

He expressed the Center for Strategic and International Studies, fears of the features of the next phase in Afghanistan, especially since the United States and its allies failed to "develop a clear strategy and determine the cost and terms of providing support," after withdrawing all the end of this year. And criticized Obama for president who seems he prefers to "engage in non-infinite path to reconsider and the search for new options, but failed to develop a clear plan, considering include the cost of the required conditions to be provided, or orientation strategic discourse approved political explain the administration's position is expected and the role of the United States to play in Afghanistan after the (complete withdrawal) 2014

Analysis:

Refuting allegations of scientific entity

For the iron beam weapon

May not bring anything new to say that when the Zionist entity haunted obsession existential crisis and security strategy, and his obsession with security and defense the best proof of that. The entity was inaugurated early this year extensive media campaign to promote its intention to deploy a new weapon missile shield system enhances the effectiveness of the "Iron Dome," known as the "Iron Beam Iron Beam" next year

In theory, the weapon works to intensify thermal lasers and casting a to intercept and destroy short-range rockets and mortars - mortars and drones - Aldrunz.oarvq campaign that aims to officially promote the system in the aerospace exhibition before held in Singapore end of February last, hoping to stay on List arms exporting countries. Advertised technique is a technical sophistication used in the famous series "Star Wars science fiction

Technology "Iron Dome," designed for the ranges of short, is working to remote sensing radar devices to an object and launches oriented integration with the "Arrow 2" missile system to intercept ballistic missiles in outer casing missiles, which will be incorporated with the newest generation of missiles "Arrow 3", and the slingshot David, who does not still in the testing stage and experience. It should be noted in this regard to the variation stats effectiveness of Iron Dome, which were used heavily during the aggression on Gaza, 2008/2009, which ranged between 30% and 80%, which insisted upon the Zionist military leaders, and also claims that the success of the "Beam Iron" rate of 90% , without providing evidence to support the sensory hypotheses. It also should be noted to decrease the cost of laser technology and thermal condensation to intercept and destroy an object compared with achieving a similar result using interceptor missiles

After the expiry of the visit of US Secretary of Defense, Chuck Hagel, newly occupied Palestine, and in conjunction with the round of nuclear negotiations with Iran, held in Paris, announced the start joint exercises on May 18, this last for five days between US military forces and "Israeli," dubbed "Juniper Cobra, 2014," a continuation of the context of the joint exercises between the two since 2001 spin maneuvers in cyberspace for my weapon air, the United States contributed to military units has about 700 elements, reinforced by "other US forces," the US command trace air and missile defense from its headquarters in Germany, and about 6 0.000 element of the Central Command for Europe - Yokum, and two destroyers-guided Aegis guided missile interceptors. This is in addition to the arsenal of the US Patriot missiles erected in several areas of the occupied Palestine. Exercises conducted periodically, once every two years, in order to "strengthen the ranges cohesion and harmony in the work and the performance of the armed forces of the two countries in preparation and simulation of exposure to attack Israel with ballistic missiles

Training and preparation measures "to Juniper Cobra 14" lasted about 18 months, after the postponement of the previous maneuver, which was scheduled to take place in 2012 attributed by some to the United States desire to calm prices tensions with Iran, and replaced it with other exercises the end of that year, dubbed "The Challenge of austerity maneuvers "missile, to denote the military budget reduction in the two countries, published on the track of the United States, extra batteries for Patriot missiles around Jerusalem and Tel spring.

It is worth mentioning that the United States had been designated to lead the central forces in Europe, Yokum, the task of "defending Israel in case of emergency" call "Oblan 4305 plan," as documented by the American writer William Arkin owner Author hinge on the distribution of forces and US military bases in the world

("Code Names: Deciphering US Military Plans, Programs and Operations.")

Allegations effective delusions

Aware of all but the vast difference between fact and fiction in the use of weapons-ray laser and inducements offered by movie scenes could be reached for the results to be implanted in the human mind that. The harness technology to military uses are constrained by strict scientific laws and desires of self-isolation for some. Is also known that the United States scoffed at efforts and the potential cost intensive than all other countries combined efforts to develop weapons-ray laser. The result, an orphan sample was loaded on board the warship, especially considering the fact documented information humbly performance and effectiveness compared to the entity's military leaders claim that they were able to "adapt the technology for military applications successfully

Accordingly, you should get acquainted with what is involved claim "Israeli" to achieve a technical breakthrough in the field of arms working-ray laser, perhaps the closest to the truth had been reached to a military application of lasers entails significant gaps, calls for scrutiny of scientific and repeat the experiment in other laboratories

Laser-saturated high thermal card laid ground optimistic defense for military applications, in the theoretical field, and the concomitant challenge to the need to overcome the real obstacles that hindered a whole ability to develop a valid model for use outside of scientific research centers. What was reached scientifically is to produce laser crystal wand and a laser beam produces gas discharge tube and their results, which came a disappointing meeting, especially for the low efficiency and the resulting power dissipation due to the rate of energy and heat out of control. Thus, the success of the experiment to reach a laser beam saturated card produces a scattered high temperatures may lead to the invalidation of equipment and destroyed

The scientists discovered a promising laser beam caused by a chemical reaction process, and approximates the result of work-propelled grenades drives him to the laser beam normal Negotiable adaptation. Based technology to use fuel payment laser, resulting in the combustion mixture of chemical elements interaction spews gas chemically exhaust or are intensifying exit through nozzle tube device, from within its properties contain molecules saturated thermal energy, which is based on total capacity to the nature of the propellant and other additional elements used in the process and being output to the case of higher heating to produce a laser beam. Compared with the microscope applications - the telescope, when put a pair of conjugate mirrors on both sides of the exhaust emitted power, will result in the production process of the laser beam and frisk optical quantum particles (photon) between the mirrors, and the extraction of energy through the status of one of the mirrors Control

Thus, simply by producing laser energy in scientific laboratories are controlled, and involved several complex levels need to be overcome before it becomes valid military and commercial applications. Thermal energy generated high up between 1,000 to 2,000 degrees Celsius, the final outcome depends on the user's fuel mixture components. The concentration of energy to pass through the nozzle tube or device requires high-precision control efforts in order to complete the production of the beam circle, especially for a mixture of gases emitted and rates of flow and pressure required. The laser some fuel and the resulting off-gases is characterized by a high degree of toxicity and corrosion. Install mirrors should be associated with less visual loss rate, as the loss of 1% in the overall thermal megawatt laser equivalent to the loss of 10 kilowatts of energy dissipative mirrors

The approach, this process is very complicated to produce a laser beam chemical reaction that lies at the heart of the "iron beam." Some scientific innovations West moved away from the production of individual laser beam, and used a series of laser and mirror to produce a beam of high card

Shown Zionist entity wary of providing accurate information about the beam and hinted that the laser output for electronic interaction in the case of steel, like the production of laser beam first in 1960 and failed to provide more scientific information may transplant think it had reached a breakthrough unique in this field technician did not appreciates any other country to repeat the experience. In other words, it was nominated for the entity of information is the closest to mislead other nations

Since the discovery of lasers in the case of steel referred to, the most important obstacle faced is the high cost and the adaptation of the application and harnessing the energy generated in other applications. Technical "traditional" to produce a laser beam exploit about 10% of the maximum energy from transforming it into a beam; dispels any of the remaining 90% of the energy that could harm the solid-state bilateral valves and destroy it. "Laser American model," the aforementioned, will be put on board the warship later than next summer (which will happen on June 21 next month) strongly ranging from 15-50 kilowatts (The real figure is locked into the secret insertion). Fixed effectiveness of the model is to address the small aircraft or fast boats bound movement toward the ship

Unclear if that weapon "Iron Beam" is greater than the mentioned model thermal energy, especially when energy requires taking into account that strongly 100 kilowatts able to destroy small targets such as aircraft Aldrunz small warships and boats. Objects and goals such as advanced ballistic missiles and cruise missiles, thermal energy require several levels of megawatts. The current technology available to produce energy condition steel, solid state, far from approaching the thermal rates required

What remains of the scientific options for the production of laser energy brings us back to the beam caused by a chemical reaction, which provides, in theory, be measured Balmigawat energy rates

Laboratory information company Rafael "Israeli," produced "Iron beam," available for experts and specialists. We can say that the findings of the research entity is a technique derived from the thermal condensation Tactical Laser Technology reached by the joint research efforts and the United States and "Israel

American military establishment threw behind the "tail" technique to produce weapon engagement and destroy short-range rockets, such as Katyusha artillery, missiles and aircraft flying at low altitude - the targets are identical with the "iron beam system." Based on the information declared the system involves the generation of energy MW thermal rate of one

The tests were conducted on the "tail" of the system between the years 2000-2004, and was told that he was able to destroy the missiles several gunshot (28, 122 and 160 mm), mimic the Katyusha rockets and rocket launchers, mortars, attack Bsaliat of mortar shells

Scientific background

Remember the literature of the US Defense Department that it was working on the development of weapons of three X-ray systems for applications in outer space and under atmospheric layer, all based on a mixture of chemicals produced by the laser beam interaction. Those literature also indicates that the production and application of laser weapons in outer space will take a couple of decades, at least. The three systems are being experimented: hydrogen fluoride gas; gas deuterium fluoride; and Gas Oxygen Iodine

Deuterium fluoride gas is characterized by interacting on a format other than the nucleus of hydrogen fluoride, which are phase interaction at the level of hydrogen molecules, and atoms of deuterium gas greatest density of hydrogen atoms fluoride, which means it's better to walk in the atmosphere retains its own properties. The first experiments indicated that it caused thermal power at a rate of more than MW

The gas oxygen iodine, which is believed to be included in the defense systems against ballistic missile applications, the energy produced by hydrogen peroxide reaction of chlorine gas, which raises the oxygen atoms that carry heat energy to iodine atoms. The average length of the resulting wave of 1.3 microns (ppm meter); any shorter than the waves generated by other Altfaalan, reached the thermal capacity of several hundred Kiloat, a better alignment of weapons in outer space

Became aware of some countries and scientific bodies considered dangerous to the early introduction of weapons into outer space and its threat to the whole mankind, and reached the age of the 1967 agreement prohibits the use of weapons in space, including the moon, too. The United Nations adopted the Convention and ratified in 1999, signed by 138 countries, with two countries: the United States and "Israel

Tactical Laser weapon thermal condensation (THEL tail)

Model "tail" works in accordance with the Gas Technology to produce deuterium fluoride laser, unlike previous experiences working gas, hydrogen fluoride, resulting from the interaction wave beam laser ranging in length from 6/3 to 2/4 micrometers (also known as thermal infrared). Enters the combustion gas ethylene third and process gas nitrogen fluoride, which blends sev deuterium and helium gas to produce deuterium fluoride in the case of frenzy. Then passes through the barrel of the gas output similar to those in a court other chemical reactions producing a laser beam

The THEL prototype tested by Israel and the United States

Model "tail" system, which was conducted by the American experience and the "Israeli" common

Gases emitted during the process of interaction and toxicity extremely dangerous to the human race, and therefore should develop a sophisticated system to dissipate the gas and neutralize and absorb the exhaust gas of deuterium fluoride. Exhaust gases also contain wasteful heat energy, which is too difficult to overcome in the previous laser weapons tests

The first experimental model size was large and filled three trailers area is difficult to control and control. "Israeli" Rafael company claims that it has been able to overcome the characteristic size and produced a microcosm of the iron beam easily move it. However, the size of the obstacle is not only facing the deployment of the laser beam weapon. The United States took off from moving in the program and stopped its funding due to various obstacles encountered while ago, "Israel" in its development with the help of US efforts, as the budgets of the US Defense Department items indicate. Based on the technical and experimental information available, it is likely the survival of those obstacles states effective solutions

One of those obstacles related to the proliferation of high thermal energy and chemically interact with the atmosphere, and the spread of the laser beam and the energy inherent in the surrounding area. Perhaps the best approach to overcome this phenomenon, scientists have to issue short flashes of laser energy to dissipate before starting the deployment target interaction. On the other hand, this technique involves the reduction of the size of the damage that would have caused him lasers large size of the body

Of the laser beam characteristics that absorbable by multiple natural elements: Zbebat dust, water vapor, clouds, fog, snow, and rain. As the wave length of the beam, 6/3 to 2/4 micrometer, enable freedom of movement across the net and dry conditions, while negatively affected by moisture regardless of the degree of saturation of the air out and symbols Beam for his goal. As the beam is negatively affected by gas carbon dioxide and hydrocarbon component, which occur, degeneration in the beam and Afaqadh focus effect. Accordingly, the application of the laser beam in the best areas and dry climates densely populated scarce, which apply to certain areas of occupied Palestine becomes; however, the effect decreases in wet climates and densely populated areas built on the coastline along the occupied Palestine

Based on the fact that the fixed water vapor limits the effectiveness of the laser beam, it becomes "Iron Beam" active in the field of defense systems exclusively, to protect a narrow geographic area around the missile battery. As for the claim that it is designed to intercept rockets and missiles Almnhalh the entity from the Gaza Strip, for example, quickly dispels the front of the documented information to his poor form in the humid climates, and much lower than claimed by Rafael ranges manufacturer

The total cost factor also falls within the Aatmmad weapon accounts, any weapon, especially taking into consideration the high cost per shot. Iron Valhaaa similar to laser resulting from the interaction of hydrogen fluoride, which range in length of the wave energy from 2.7 to 2.9 micrometers, a wave, which is absorbed by the atmosphere, which weakens the strength of the beam and reduces the distance that is supposed reaching it, and only in exceptional cases that may largely It is used in outer space

Raphael company claims it has been able to overcome that obstacle and the introduction of expensive fuel cost element and rare, using rare isotopes of hydrogen gas then uses deuterium instead of hydrogen, and which has a length of energy caused a wave of 3.6 to 4.2 Makromtra. In this case, the chemical property, it becomes the use of beam deuterium fluoride better off in the anti-missile systems. The rare fuel mentioned The cost of production is very expensive (as it is a gas 0.0156% of all hydrogen gas at the ball the whole ground, hence the high cost may reach several thousand dollars for each shot, and the result is not guaranteed in any way. In 1980 issued a laboratory arms weapon US Air study stating that the cost of producing fuel laser could reach $ 1,000 per megawatt per second. It was estimating the cost of the laser beam system "tail" of about $ 3,000 per shot

Hence clear inter quit the United States for the use of gas and deuterium fluoride compounds and replace them with electric pumps to produce a beam of factors

As mentioned in the introduction, the allegations of "Israel" to achieve quantum leaps and scientific breakthroughs in their applications "Iron Beam" in dire need of sensory information and documentary evidence; and is likely to use American technology abandoned by the United States, motivated by the high cost and other technical obstacles, including the need to supply combustion chemical elements of the process extreme toxicity of the human race, and the challenges faced by the efficiency in front of the natural moisture factors and the Palace of the final extents

Some rare high cost of iron beam that it should be called the beam Platinum

05/16/2014 Weekly Report

May 18, 2014 thinktankadmin Weekly Report of the American research centers

: Introduction

.hhdt US research centers relatively intense activity in the size and diversity of the topics covered, in the period preceding the official holiday of Eid veterans in the United States in preparation for the start of the summer vacation season

Will review the self-conditions to the forces of the Syrian armed opposition analysis section in light of defeats series received the citizen central power, and directed backers to activate the southern front to Syria after the completion of logistical preparations and exercises, which took place on Jordanian territory under the supervision of US special forces and its Western allies, and the keenness of "Israel" on the provision of support multiple of the opposition forces. The analysis will pass on the nature of the weapons that have entered the field of service after the disclosure of the United States intentions of providing sophisticated weapons, anti-armor and aviation of the opposition forces, including anti-tank missile from Tao model

Ml_khasdrasat activities and research centers

Islamic state in Iraq and the Levant

Eating Institute of war studies at the initial conditions Daash study, referring to the growing forces and "implemented technically sophisticated attacks and Tzlyahya in Deir al-Zour .. as well as in its efforts to establish the rule of local councils, while moving in well-organized campaign in Iraqi territory. He explained that the process of issuing another in-depth studies on various aspects of the state, including non-military activities undertaken by the in Syria

Salafist groups

Eating Carnegie Institute Kuwaiti Salafist groups and their influence on the Syrian and Lebanese arenas, referring to "cross-border financing global Salafi current financial networks .. which enhanced control on an international scale." He added that the Salafist groups Activity in Kuwait "directly contributed to the divisions and polarization among the powers Salafist located in northern Lebanon .. also funding campaigns they oversee in Kuwait supported their efforts to take care of a number of different Salafist Almndjemoat in Syria, which contributed to the elaboration of sectarian intolerance and fragmentation of the Syrian opposition forces

Iraq

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